Trump Victory Comes Into View
Trump Victory Comes Into View
Ned Ryun to palace eunuchs: drop dead.
THE LEAD-IN: While the election seems to be on a razor’s edge, I argue that an Electoral College win for Donald Trump is coming into view. Yes, polls of the national popular vote have Vice President Kamala Harris ahead, although she is ahead by less than Hillary Clinton was in 2016. But this is an election of fifty states and Trump is consolidating his position in swing states.
Of the Republican-leaning swing states that Trump must win—Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina—he leads in the RealClearPolitics average of polls. Beyond those, he must win only either Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, or Michigan to win the presidency. Winning two or three would be great, but he only needs one.
In Pennsylvania, the last four major polls have Trump tied or leading by a point or two.
In Wisconsin, the most recent poll had him up a point although most previous polls had him down a point.
See below for the full Domino Theory podcast episode with Ned Ryun
A lot can happen in a week in politics, much less the six weeks until the election, but as early voting begins, victory seems to be within grasp. Also, let’s look past the numbers. If you’re listening to this podcast, you probably have an interest in policy and hard data, and wish that Trump would be a little tighter with his proposals, facts, and targets on the campaign trail. But compared to Kamala, Trump could be a Poli Sci professor with his detailed and direct campaign messages and plans.
With Trump, voters basically know how he will bring back the Three Fat Years of economic growth and peace we had before the pandemic. He will cut energy prices, which will make everything cheaper, and stop the over-spending that has driven inflation. He will negotiate the end of wars rather than starting new ones. He’ll get control of the border and deport the bad hombres. And he will rebuild the military to be what Rush Limbaugh used to identify as its primary purpose—“to kill people and break things”—rather than a sandbox for DEI experiments and four-star politicians who can’t win wars.
Contrast that to Kamala and her zero-calorie word salad. How will she make life better for anyone except for the government bureaucrats and elite overlords about whom our guest, Ned, has written? In short, as he did in 2016, Donald Trump is connecting emotionally with voters and offering them practical solutions. And, while Kamala is hiding from even her fanboys in the corporate media, Trump is communicating with voters in plain language and, despite the best efforts of big media, big tech, and Hollywood, he is getting through.
Some Democrat antics may also be backfiring. The biased debate that ABC News produced actually cost it nearly 1 million viewers in the days after the debate. A large number of foreign policy and intelligence experts have endorsed Kamala, but many of these people propagated the Russia hoax and later lied about Hunter Biden’s incriminating computer. Democrats also invited Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskyy to tour an ammunition factory in the swing state of Pennsylvania at taxpayer expense. That seems like election interference by foreigners, especially since Zelenskyy criticized Trump and Vance just days after a pro-Ukraine zealot tried to kill Trump. Do these actions win over voters upset that Biden-Harris policies have destroyed 30 percent of their savings and purchasing power through inflation?
If I am right, and if the trend continues, Trump would get another four years as chief executive. Those around him promise that he learned much from his tumultuous first term, which included some plainly disloyal and feckless political appointees and permanent swamp critters that partially undermined his presidency and even got him impeached on a phony premise.
Trump will inherit a national debt that is as big as our annual economic output, a stock market bubble and looming recession, the reckoning for which has been delayed by a Federal Reserve desperate to elect Kamala. He will also find a depleted military, which falls well short of recruiting goals, wars in Ukraine and Israel, and a set of bases in the Pacific that are largely naked to Chinese attack. If elected, he’ll have just over 4,000 political appointments—about half of which actually matter—to manage a mostly hostile federal workforce of three million people.
In other words, winning the presidency isn’t the end of the fight. It’s just the beginning—the beginning of a struggle like no other. And Trump would only have one term to turn the ship around. It’s frankly amazing he is willing to undertake this task.
And that’s the lead-in. Watch the full podcast below.
Domino Theory: Ned Ryun on Slaying the Government Leviathan plus trends benefitting Trump - check out the newest episode of our Domino Theory podcast.
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отличный политический анализ, товарищ
We know Trump talks (and talks and talks) about immigration, but why would anyone believe that he is going to do anything about it? He managed to build all of 50± miles of new wall along the 2,000 mile border (obviously Mexico did not pay for it) and Obama stopped/deported 60% more people per year than Trump. He had Republican control of both the House and Senate for two years and did nothing about immigration, instead passing a massive tax cut for billionaires.